American Military Intervention in Libya - "Thought Set Free From Experience"

Transitology, the process by which Authoritarian regimes transition to democracy, is either enabled or inhibited by various social conditions and by the method by which transition occurs. By analyzing various national conditions such as a country's history of democratic experience and institutions; its use of military and security services; the level of cultural homogeneity in relation to tribal, economic, and religious cleavages; and an evaluation of characteristics associated with a modern society the probability of a successful democratic transition is predictable. Moreover, the method by which a nation transitions also serves as a useful predictive analysis tool for gauging the relative success of democratization. According to the analysis. regime change born out of violence is far more likely to result in another authoritarian government rather than a successful transition to democracy.