Trend Monitoring and Forecasting

reportActive / Technical Report | Accession Number: ADA620012 | Open PDF

Abstract:

Recently, almost all web services, including Twitter, Google, Internet News, and Wikipedia, analyze their user created social data and detect the most popular terms that are discussed and searched within their community. The popular terms that are detected are published in the list, called Trending Topic list. Awareness and utilization of trending topics plays a crucial role in various fields, including marketing, politics, and economics. In this three - year project, we monitor and analyze the trending topics in different online communities and provide a smart service by utilizing them . In this project , we achieve d the following aims 1 identifying the relevance of trending topic to a target domain, 2 predicting the popularity trends of trending topic, and 3 predicting the diffusion trend s of trending topics among different online communities. With sponsorship from the US Air Force Office of Scientific Research ContractsGrant FA2386-12-1-4039 and Grant, our research has allowed us to characterize and analyze the concept of trending to pics in online communities , and develop the smart service using them. In this process, we have established a foundational literature on this topic.

Author(s):
Kang, Byeong H.
Author Organization(s):
TASMANIA UNIV HOBART (AUSTRALIA) SCHOOL OF COMPUTING
Descriptive Note:
Final rept. 28 Mar 2013-27 Mar 2015
Pagination:
0016

Security Markings

DOCUMENT & CONTEXTUAL SUMMARY

Distribution:
Approved For Public Release
Distribution Statement:
Approved For Public Release; Distribution Is Unlimited.

RECORD

Collection: TR
Identifying Numbers
Report Number(s):
AOARD-124039
Contract/Grant Number(s):
FA2386-12-1-4039
Monitor Series:
124039, AOARD
 Subject Terms
Joint Capability Areas:
JCA_5_Command and Control; JCA_5.2_Understand; JCA_5.2.3_Share Knowledge and Situational Awareness; JCA_5.3_Planning; JCA_4.2.1_Manage Supplies and Equipment; JCA_4.2_Supply; JCA_1.2.7_Experimentation; JCA_1.2.3_Educating; JCA_5.2.2_Develop Knowledge and Situational Awareness
Modernization Areas:
Autonomy
Communities of Interest:
Autonomy
Descriptor(s):
*DATA MINING, *FORECASTING, *ONLINE COMMUNITIES, BEHAVIOR, DIFFUSION, INFORMATION EXCHANGE, INFORMATION RETRIEVAL, INTERNET, KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT, MARKETING, MATHEMATICAL PREDICTION, MOBILE COMPUTING, MONITORING, ONLINE SYSTEMS, PATTERN RECOGNITION, RANK ORDER STATISTICS, RELATIONAL DATA BASES, SEMANTICS, SOCIAL COMMUNICATION, TARGET CLASSIFICATION, TEXT PROCESSING
Field(s)/Group(s):
Information Science, Sociology and Law, Statistics and Probability
Keyword(s):
SMART SERVICE, TRENDING TOPICS, TOPIC DIFFUSION, TREND MONITORING, TREND PREDICTION, SEMANTIC ANALYSIS, PE61102F
Report Date:
2015 Mar 11
Creation Date:
2015 Aug 24