United States Marine Corps Career Designation Board: Significant Factors in Predicting Selection

reportActive / Technical Report | Accession Number: ADA607837 | Open PDF

Abstract:

The United State Marine Corps USMC re-implemented the competitive Career Designation CD board starting in FY 2010 to select and retain the most competitive junior officers. From 2010 to 2013, 4,723 out of 6,732 officers were offered CD. Utilizing a Probit model and the dataset of the 6,732 officers, we provide statistical analysis of what factors impact the officer s likelihood of being CD in each of the competitive subcategories of combat arms, combat service support, aviation-ground, law, and aviation. We find that Reviewing Officer Relative Value Average is the most significant factor for most of the officers, as it increases the marginal probability of being CD by an average of 60 percentage points. Surprisingly, combat deployments were not consistently significant throughout the competitive categories. Finally, we develop an Excel-based interactive CD counseling tool, which provides the probability of the officer being CD, given the officer s individual characteristics.

Author(s):
Garza, Raul P.
Author Organization(s):
NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA
Descriptive Note:
Master's thesis
Pagination:
0191

Security Markings

DOCUMENT & CONTEXTUAL SUMMARY

Distribution:
Approved For Public Release
Distribution Statement:
Approved For Public Release; Distribution Is Unlimited.

RECORD

Collection: TR
Identifying Numbers
Monitor Series:
NPS
 Subject Terms
Joint Capability Areas:
JCA_5_Command and Control; JCA_1.3.2_Personnel Management; JCA_4.1_Deployment and Distribution; JCA_1.2.3_Educating; JCA_1.3.1_Personnel and Family Support; JCA_5.3_Planning; JCA_5.6.1_Assess Compliance with Guidance; JCA_5.6_Monitor; JCA_1.1_Force Management; JCA_1.2.5_Lessons Learned; JCA_1_Force Support; JCA_2.2.1_Signals Collection; JCA_2.2_Collection; JCA_5.2_Understand; JCA_4.3_Maintain; JCA_1.2.1_Training; JCA_4_Logistics; JCA_5.5.3_Establish Metrics; JCA_5.5_Direct
Communities of Interest:
Human Systems
Descriptor(s):
*MARINE CORPS PERSONNEL, *PERSONNEL SELECTION, AUGMENTATION, DEMOGRAPHY, MILITARY OCCUPATIONAL SPECIALTIES, MODELS, OFFICER PERSONNEL, PERFORMANCE APPRAISALS, PERSONNEL MANAGEMENT, PERSONNEL RETENTION
Field(s)/Group(s):
Personnel Management and Labor Relations, Military Forces and Organizations
Keyword(s):
CAREER COUNSELING TOOLS, CD(CAREER DESIGNATION), PREDICTING SELECTION, PROBIT MODEL, REVIEWING OFFICER RELATIVE VALUE, SIGNIFICANT FACTORS, THESES, USMC(UNITED STATES MARINE CORPS)
Report Date:
2014 Mar 01
Creation Date:
2014 Oct 01