Tropical Cyclone Structure and Intensity Change Related to Eyewall Replacement Cycles and Annular Storm Formation, Utilizing Objective Interpretation of Satellite Data and Model Analyses

This project aims toward increasing our understanding of the dynamics of secondary eyewalls in tropical cyclones and our ability to forecast their formation and associated intensity changes. This is being accomplished through a synergistic combination of theoretical, empirical, and numerical modeling approaches. We expect to apply our results to the construction of objective algorithms that will be transitioned to operations to provide forecasters with new tools for improved forecasting of tropical cyclone structure and intensity.