Study of the Utility of NWP Forecast Guidance and Simple Ocean Modeling as a Tool for Planning During Reactive Situations

reportActive / Technical Report | Accession Number: ADA467191 | Open PDF

Abstract:

The utility of using a numerical weather prediction NWP forecast model as an input to a simple ocean model for planning during reactive situations is studied. An oceanographic experiment called the Maud Rise Nonlinear Equation of State Study MaudNESS was conducted from June to September of 2005 over the Maud Rise in the eastern Weddell Sea. Archived Antarctic Mesoscale Prediction System AMPS Polar MM5 forecast fields from MaudNESS were compared to observed conditions during MaudNESS. AMPS was found to have problems with cloud and moisture parameters, but represented the overall synoptic situation. AMPS forecast and observed forcing fields as well as increased values for both were input into a simple one dimensional ocean model at three locations in the Maud Rise area of differing stability. The ocean model was found to have good utility as a planning tool for short term reactive situations where a high degree of accuracy is not needed.

Author(s):
Jones, Robert D.
Author Organization(s):
NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA
Descriptive Note:
Master's thesis
Pagination:
0137

Security Markings

DOCUMENT & CONTEXTUAL SUMMARY

Distribution:
Approved For Public Release
Distribution Statement:
Approved For Public Release; Distribution Is Unlimited.

RECORD

Collection: TR
Identifying Numbers
Monitor Series:
NPS
 Subject Terms
Joint Capability Areas:
JCA_5_Command and Control; JCA_5.3_Planning; JCA_4.1_Deployment and Distribution; JCA_1.2.5_Lessons Learned; JCA_1_Force Support; JCA_6_Net Centric; JCA_3.2_Engagement; JCA_3_Force Application; JCA_1.3_Human Capital Management; JCA_4_Logistics; JCA_1.2_Force Preparation; JCA_1.3.2_Personnel Management; JCA_8_Building Partnerships
Modernization Areas:
Space
Communities of Interest:
Ground and Sea Platforms
Descriptor(s):
*WEATHER FORECASTING, *OCEAN MODELS, NUMERICAL ANALYSIS, OCEANOGRAPHY, MATHEMATICAL PREDICTION, THESES
Field(s)/Group(s):
Meteorology
Keyword(s):
NWP(NUMERICAL WEATHER PREDICTION), MAUDNESS(MAUD RISE NONLINEAR EQUATION OF STATE STUDY), AMPS(ARCHIVED ANTARCTIC MESOSCALE PREDICTION SYSTEM)
Report Date:
2007 Mar 01
Creation Date:
2007 Jun 20