Malmstrom AFB Chinook Wind Study.

reportActive / Technical Report | Accession Number: ADA240484 | Open PDF

Abstract:

This report documents efforts to determine correlations among certain weather variables at Malmstrom AFB, Montana, in an attempt to help forecast the onset of winds over 25 knots during Chinook season October through April only weak relationships could be found. Predictive equations based on these correlations were developed using linear regression techniques the equations showed limited skill. USAFETAC then tried to improve the Heidke skill scores by including more predictor variables chosen by a stepwise regression technique skill scores improved slightly, but remained below 0.50. Finally, USAFETAC looked for a favored time interval between development of a 10-mb sea-level pressure difference and onset of 25-knot gusts or sustained winds at Malmstrom there was none.

Author(s):
Reding, Gregory J.
Author Organization(s):
AIR FORCE ENVIRONMENTAL TECHNICAL APPLICATIONS CENTER SCOTT AFB IL
Descriptive Note:
Project rept.,
Pagination:
0031

Security Markings

DOCUMENT & CONTEXTUAL SUMMARY

Distribution:
Approved For Public Release
Distribution Statement:
Approved For Public Release; Distribution Is Unlimited.

RECORD

Collection: TR
Identifying Numbers
Report Number(s):
USAFETAC/PR--91/010
Monitor Series:
USAFETAC
 Subject Terms
Joint Capability Areas:
JCA_1_Force Support; JCA_1.3_Human Capital Management; JCA_1.3.2_Personnel Management; JCA_5_Command and Control; JCA_5.3_Planning; JCA_6.4.1_Secure Information Exchange; JCA_3.2_Engagement; JCA_3_Force Application; JCA_6_Net Centric; JCA_3.2.1_Kinetic Means; JCA_6.4_Information Assurance
Communities of Interest:
Biomedical
Descriptor(s):
*WIND, METHODOLOGY, WEATHER, SKILLS, PREDICTIONS, SEASONS, REGRESSION ANALYSIS, EQUATIONS, LINEAR REGRESSION ANALYSIS, LOW STRENGTH, SCORING, MONTANA, TIME INTERVALS, VARIABLES
Field(s)/Group(s):
Meteorology, Statistics and Probability
Keyword(s):
*WIND, *WEATHER FORECASTING, *CHINOOK WINDSTORMS, MALMSTROM AFB(MONTANA), AIR FORCE FACILITIES, BAROMETRIC PRESSURE, CORRELATION TECHNIQUES, REGRESSION ANALYSIS, STATISTICAL ANALYSIS, CLIMATOLOGY, MATHEMATICAL PREDICTION
Report Date:
1991 May 01