Air Logistics Early Requirements Technique (ALERT) FY92-97 Program Objective Memorandum (POM) Forecasts

reportActive / Technical Report | Accession Number: ADA212043 | Open PDF

Abstract:

This report documents the 1988 application of the Air Logistics Early Requirements Technique ALERT for estimating the FY92-FY97 Program Objective Memorandum POM inputs for the Peacetime Operation Spares portion of the aircraft replenishment spares budget BP15. This is the sixth consecutive year that ALERT has been used to prepare AFLC POM inputs to the Air Staff. ALERTs logic is a combination of statistical forecasts and management adjustments to these forecasts which yield the Commands total peacetime operating stock requirement for the POM period. The ALERT model has been used by the Air Force Logistics Command since 1984 to project the BP15 aircraft peacetime spares Program objective Memorandum POM requirement. ALERT performs a statistical analysis of historical data to forecast the BP15 Peacetime Operation Spares POS requirement by weapon system. The AFLC BP15 budget program managers review the statistical projections and make final adjustments. ALERT is the only BP15 POM forecasting approach sanctioned by the Air Staff. This report documents the development of the FY92-FY97 POM forecasts. ALERT uses 16 individual weapon system regression equations to develop each fiscal years BP15 estimate by weapon system. These individual forecasts are then added together to develop the Air Force total BP15 POM forecast.

Author(s):
Lucas, Rob ; Rexroad, Adrienne ; Collins, Larry
Author Organization(s):
AIR FORCE LOGISTICS COMMAND WRIGHT-PATTERSON AFB OH MANAGEMENT INFORMATION SYSTEMS/ANALYSIS DIV
Descriptive Note:
Final rept.
Pagination:
0029

Security Markings

DOCUMENT & CONTEXTUAL SUMMARY

Distribution:
Approved For Public Release
Distribution Statement:
Approved For Public Release; Distribution Is Unlimited.

RECORD

Collection: TR
Identifying Numbers
Monitor Series:
AFLC/MMIS
 Subject Terms
Joint Capability Areas:
JCA_5_Command and Control; JCA_4_Logistics; JCA_4.2_Supply; JCA_5.3_Planning; JCA_4.2.1_Manage Supplies and Equipment; JCA_1_Force Support; JCA_1.2.5_Lessons Learned; JCA_5.2_Understand; JCA_1.3_Human Capital Management; JCA_1.3.2_Personnel Management; JCA_5.2.3_Share Knowledge and Situational Awareness
Communities of Interest:
Weapons Technologies
Descriptor(s):
*FORECASTING, *AIR FORCE LOGISTICS COMMAND, *SPARE PARTS, *PLANNING PROGRAMMING BUDGETING, *LOGISTICS PLANNING, STATISTICS, REGRESSION ANALYSIS, OPERATION, EQUATIONS, LOGIC, WARNING SYSTEMS, REPLENISHMENT, WEAPON SYSTEMS, PEACETIME, MANAGEMENT, AIRCRAFT, REQUIREMENTS, AIR FORCE
Field(s)/Group(s):
Military Aircraft Operations, Statistics and Probability, Logistics, Military Facilities and Supplies
Keyword(s):
ALERT(AIR LOGISTICS EARLY REQUIREMENTS TECHNIQUE)
Report Date:
1989 May 01