The Development of an Enlistment Standards Model for the Navy Aviation Machinist's Mate (AD) Rating.

This thesis presents analytic techniques for developing enlistment standards models which attempt to improve upon existing methods. Alternative criteria for measuring successful operational performance, and a means of measuring utility are also provided. Another purpose of this study is to discover if the Navys system for selecting personnel for the Aviation Machinists Mate AD rating may be improved. Two criteria were utilized in developing these models-length of service, and a composite measure of success that considers length of service, highest paygrade achieved, and reenlistment eligibility. Measures on individuals at the time of enlistment are used as predictor and discriminating variables. Six models are developed and analyzed using regression and discriminant techniques. Utility analysis is conducted on each of these models as a means of measuring their usefulness in monetary terms. Originator-supplied key words include Enlistment standards, Enlistment models, Regression analysis, Discriminant analysis, Utility analysis, Model validation, Selection standards, and Personnel selection.