Natural Disaster Scenario Generator.

In this study, a computer system previously developed for generating nuclear damage scenarios Dial-a-Scenario was extended to produce natural disaster scenarios. The programs are implemented on both time-shared remote terminal and batch process modes. The programs include prior knowledge of natural disasters and produce a plausible sequence of event statements. The probabilistic nature of the programs permits an umlimited variety of scenarios to be produced. The user is allowed to design a desirable scenario by selecting the type of disaster, the maximum hazard level, and special problems. Running time and cost history data indicate that these scenarios can be produced very efficiently. Author