The Changing U.S. Population and Future Demand for Air Travel,

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Abstract:

The report is intended to explore how certain contrary demographic trends might net out in their effect on air travel. The approach involves projecting the volume of domestic air travel under, first, two alternate assumptions about future population growth the 2- versus the 3-child family and, second, two alternate assumptions about future economic growth a 0.25 percent annual reduction in the work week fast GNP growth and a 1.00 percent reduction slow GNP growth.

Author(s):
Morrison, Peter A.
Author Organization(s):
RAND CORP SANTA MONICA CA
Supplementary Note:
Presented at the Air Transport Association's 1972 Airline Relations Conference, held in Hot Springs, Va., on 1 Dec 72.
Pagination:
0013

Security Markings

DOCUMENT & CONTEXTUAL SUMMARY

Distribution:
Approved For Public Release

RECORD

Collection: TR
Identifying Numbers
Report Number(s):
P-4938
 Subject Terms
Communities of Interest:
No COI(s) Identified
Descriptor(s):
*AIR TRANSPORTATION, *POPULATION, MATHEMATICAL PREDICTION, ECONOMICS, UNCERTAINTY, FERTILITY, STATISTICAL PROCESSES, TIME, PROBABILITY, INDUSTRIAL RELATIONS
Field(s)/Group(s):
Commercial and General Aviation, Economics and Cost Analysis
Keyword(s):
POPULATION GROWTH, FAMILY SIZE
Report Date:
1972 Dec 01