An Application of Model Output Statistics to the Prediction of Ceiling and Visibility.

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Abstract:

In the report, the Model Output Statistics MOS approach is used to develop prediction equations for ceiling and visibility. MOS consists of determining a statistical relationship between a predictand and the forecast output of numerical prediction models. The statistical relationship was determined by screening regression. The two numerical models used were the National Meteorological Centers primitive equation model and the Techniques Development Laboratorys Subsynoptic Advection Model. Modified author abstract

Author(s):
Bocchieri, Joseph R. ; Glahn, Harry R. ; Globokar, Frank T.
Author Organization(s):
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SILVER SPRING MD TECHNIQUES DEVELOPMENT LAB
Descriptive Note:
Final rept. Mar 71-Mar 73 on Phase 1,
Pagination:
0069

Security Markings

DOCUMENT & CONTEXTUAL SUMMARY

Distribution:
Approved For Public Release

RECORD

Collection: TR
Identifying Numbers
Report Number(s):
FAA-RD-73-14
Contract/Grant Number(s):
DOT-FA67WAI-131
Project Number(s):
FAA-152-461-014
Monitor Series:
73-14
 Subject Terms
Communities of Interest:
No COI(s) Identified
Descriptor(s):
(*WEATHER FORECASTING, STATISTICAL ANALYSIS), (*CEILING, MATHEMATICAL PREDICTION), (*VISIBILITY, MATHEMATICAL PREDICTION), WIND, REGRESSION ANALYSIS, PROBABILITY, CLIMATE, CURVE FITTING, GRAPHICS, TABLES(DATA)
Field(s)/Group(s):
Meteorology
Keyword(s):
NUMERICAL WEATHER FORECASTING
Report Date:
1973 Mar 01