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Accession Number:

AD1208420

Title:

United States-China Gray Zone Conflict in the 2027 to 2032 Battlespace

Author(s):

Author Organization(s):

Report Date:

2023-04-01

Abstract:

This unclassified study examines strategic competition and the potential for a gray zone-origin military conflict between the People's Republic of China (PRC) and the United States in the 2027 to 2032 timeframe. In support of the Defense Threat Reduction Agency (DTRA), the Institute for Defense Analyses (IDA) developed four independent scenarios across key DTRA-identified stress points (Taiwan, Senkaku Islands, South China Sea, and the Belt and Road Initiative [BRI]) that plausibly could trigger armed conflict. The scenarios will provide DTRA, in its role as a Combat Support Agency, with insight to assist U.S. Indo-Pacific Command (USINDOPACOM) in identifying potential vulnerabilities and areas of improvements to Department of Defense capabilities and plans.

Pages:

36

File Size:

1.19MB

Descriptors:

Identifiers:

SubjectCategory:

Communities of Interest:

Distribution Statement:

Approved For Public Release

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