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Accession Number:
ADP002310
Title:
Cognitive Behavior and Information Processing under Conditions of Uncertainty
Corporate Author:
ARMY RESEARCH INST FOR THE BEHAVIORAL AND SOCIAL SCIENCES ALEXANDRIA VA
Report Date:
1983-07-15
Abstract:
Over the past decade, research and synthesis of findings on decision making have led to the unequivocal conclusion that earlier conceptualizations about the decision process were either overly simplistic or lacking in veridicality. The nature of the decision tasks, and the conditions under which it is performed have a profound influence on the decision process. These effects include the decision makers view of the process, and probably information processing strategies which the decision maker may be unaware of having chosen. Further, there is a growing body of literature which suggests that the nature of the decision process is strongly influenced by the organizational level at which the decision maker is located, i.e., what his critical functions in the organization are, and the nature of the cognitive skills he therefore must bring to the task. The purpose of the present paper is to present some of these data, together with some possible implications they have for decision making under conditions of uncertainty, and for risk management.
Supplementary Note:
This article is from 'Management of Risk and Uncertainty in Systems Acquisition: Proceedings of the 1983 Defense Risk and Uncertainty Workshop Held at Fort Belvoir, Virginia on 13-15 July 1983,' ADA136230, p165-169.
Pages:
0005
Distribution Statement:
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.
File Size:
0.43MB
