Sources of Tanker Tonnage for Wartime Logistical Support: Projections of the Commercial Fleet and the Ready Reserve Force
Final rept. Jan-May 1986
CENTER FOR NAVAL ANALYSES ALEXANDRIA VA NAVAL PLANNING MANPOWER AND LOGISTICS DIV
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This research contribution makes projections of tanker tonnage and the numbers of tankers available to support U.S. forces in wartime for 1990, 1995, 2000, and 2010. The key finding of the analysis is that the supply of tankers will fall far short of estimated Department of DefenseDOD requirements. This rapid shrinkage of tankers is deemed likely because domestic crude oil production is projected to decline substantially, and because additional pipeline construction is underway. If DOD continues to rely on the Ready Reserve Force to fill the shortfall in the numbers of available tankers, by the mid-1990s the fleet of reserve tankers would have to be expanded to about triple the size DOD currently anticipates. accordingly, the study recommends that the Navy consider the alternative policy of out sourcing for delivering fuel to armed forces during wartime.
- Logistics, Military Facilities and Supplies