Long-Range Military Implications of Petroleum Availability for Navy Planning Study
CENTER FOR NAVAL ANALYSES ALEXANDRIA VA NAVAL WARFARE ANALYSIS GROUP
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This study evaluates petroleum issues facing the Navy over the next 20 years. It analyzes the threat of reduced availability of petroleum and the probable effects on naval warfare, on the selection of weapons, and on mobility. There are four areas of investigation the current oil market, production forecasts, the prospect of import interruptions, and Navy options. The study address the changes in the oil market since the embargo of 1973. It explains how those changes in the market have affected Navy budgets and eroded steaming and flying hours. Published forecasts of lowered production of petroleum and the threat of interruptions of imports are evaluated for their potential to disrupt world markets out to the year 2000. Several aspects of future petroleum supplies are quantified. The study concludes by recommending measures the Navy can take to deal with the problems of reduced fuel availability and quality.
- Lubricants and Hydraulic Fluids
- Logistics, Military Facilities and Supplies