Development of an Expert System Based on the Systematic Approach to Tropical Cyclone Track Forecasting
NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA DEPT OF METEOROLOGY
Pagination or Media Count:
The long-term goals of this project, which is being pursued in collaboration with R. L. Elsberry and M. A. Boothe, are essentially the same as those for the related project entitled Systematic Approach to Tropical Cyclone Track Forecasting summarized elsewhere in this report. Those stated goals are to improve not only the quantitative accuracy of official tropical cyclone TC track forecasts, but also the qualitative meteorological utility of those forecasts. Whereas the focus of the related project is to conduct basic research to develop the methodological framework and organized knowledge bases i.e., of TC meteorology and TC forecast model traits necessary to eventually accomplish the long-term goals, the focus here is to take results from that project and transform them into a prototype software tool that will, when fully implemented, enable the TC forecaster to actually accomplish the long-term goals.