Accession Number:

ADA624647

Title:

Rapid Mission Assurance Assessment via Sociotechnical Modeling and Simulation

Descriptive Note:

Doctoral thesis

Corporate Author:

CARNEGIE-MELLON UNIV PITTSBURGH PA CENTER FOR COMPUTATIONAL ANALYSIS OF SOCIAL AND ORGANIZATIONAL SYSTEMS

Personal Author(s):

Report Date:

2015-05-01

Pagination or Media Count:

377.0

Abstract:

How do organizations rapidly assess command-level effects of cyber attacks Leaders need a way of assuring themselves that their organization, people, and information technology can continue their missions in a contested cyber environment. To do this, leaders should 1 require assessments be more than analogical, anecdotal or simplistic snapshots in time 2 demand the ability to rapidly model their organizations 3 identify their organizations structural vulnerabilities and 4 have the ability to forecast mission assurance scenarios. Using text mining to build agent based dynamic network models of information processing organizations, I examine impacts of contested cyber environments on three common focus areas of information assurance confidentiality, integrity, and availability. I find that assessing impacts of cyber attacks is a nuanced affair dependent on the nature of the attack, the nature of the organization and its missions, and the nature of the measurements. For well-manned information processing organizations, many attacks are in the nuisance range and that only multipronged or severe attacks cause meaningful failure. I also find that such organizations can design for resiliency and provide guidelines in how to do so.

Subject Categories:

  • Computer Programming and Software
  • Computer Systems Management and Standards
  • Military Intelligence
  • Command, Control and Communications Systems

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE