Officer Overexecution: Analysis and Solutions
CENTER FOR NAVAL ANALYSES ARLINGTON VA
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Because the Navy has a closed personnel system, it must access enough surface warfare officers SWOs each year to fill future mid-level requirements. Given historical SWO retention, however, the number of SWO accessions needed to fill future mid-level requirements exceeds the junior SWO workload, resulting in officer overexecution OOE. To evaluate the risk associated with courses of action to address OOE, leadership must understand the SWO accession model and its underlying assumptions. We reviewed the model and recommend which underlying assumptions to use, particularly for SWO retention. We found that SWO retention is significantly affected by the number and experience level of prior-enlisted SWO accessions. We also found that female SWOs with a nuclear subspecialty are the only SWOs whose retention appears to be affected by the level of OOE in their first sea assignment. In addition, we developed an index of economic activity that could be used to help forecast conventional SWO retention.
- Personnel Management and Labor Relations