Dynamic Asset Allocation Approaches for Counter-Piracy Operations
NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA
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Piracy on the high seas is a problem of world-wide concern. In response to this threat, the US Navy has developed a visualization tool known as the Pirate Attack Risk Surface PARS that integrates intelligence data, commercial shipping routes, and meteorological and oceanographic METOC information to predict regions where pirates may be present and where they may strike next. This paper proposes an algorithmic augmentation or add-on to PARS that allocates interdiction and surveillance assets so as to minimize the likelihood of a successful pirate attack over a fixed planning horizon. This augmentation, viewed as a tool for human planners, can be mapped closely to the decision support layer of the Battlespace on Demand BonD framework 32. Our solution approach decomposes this NPhard optimization problem into two sequential phases. In Phase I, we solve the problem of allocating only the interdiction assets, such that regions with high cumulative probability of attack over the planning horizon are maximally covered.
- Military Operations, Strategy and Tactics