Deconstructing Afghanistan: How Does America's Past Inform Afghanistan's Future?
AIR UNIV MAXWELL AFB AL SCHOOL OF ADVANCED AIR AND SPACE STUDIES
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This study suggests a path for Afghanistan s post-2014 future based on the post- Civil War experience of the US South. A comparative history of both societies reveals they share three important traits highly differentiated class structures, ethnically and economically diverse societal mosaics, and a belief in peripheral and societal autonomy. The author assesses the prospects for either renewed civil war or stable peace in Afghanistan after US and coalition military forces complete their withdrawal. The study concludes Afghanistan s fate rests with the Afghan people and not the international community, despite the weight of effort expended by the US and coalition nations since October 2001. Furthermore, regardless of the near universal assumption by pundits, politicians, and academics, this comparison with the South after April 1865 suggests a significant possibility exists for political reconciliation with Taliban leaders, sustained peace, and stable albeit slow economic growth. Secondary findings suggest Afghanistan s historical existence as a rentier state will persist at least through 2025 that social modernization efforts imposed by external influence, to include gender equality, are likely to regress in future years and the vast economic disparities resident in Afghan society will persist indefinitely.
- Government and Political Science
- Sociology and Law
- Humanities and History
- Military Operations, Strategy and Tactics