Accession Number:

ADA616716

Title:

ESPC Coupled Global Ensemble Design

Descriptive Note:

Corporate Author:

NAVAL RESEARCH LAB MONTEREY CA

Personal Author(s):

• McLay, Justin

Report Date:

2014-09-30

Pagination or Media Count:

7.0

Abstract:

The long-term goal of the project is the development of a coupled atmosphere-ocean ensemble prediction system that can provide probabilistic environmental information to meet Navy and DoD operations and planning needs throughout the globe from undersea to upper atmosphere and from the Tropics to the Poles on the weekly to monthly timescale. The objective of this project, which is the ensemble component of the ESPC effort, is the development of a coupled atmosphere ocean ensemble prediction system that will provide coupled atmosphere-ocean probabilistic predictions out to 30 days. The separate component ensemble systems will be developed first, followed by the development of the coupled system infrastructure and forecasting capabilities. Initial operational capability is targeted for 2018.

Descriptors:

• *ATMOSPHERE MODELS
• ATMOSPHERES
• COUPLING(INTERACTION)
• FORECASTING
• OCEANS
• PREDICTIONS
• PROBABILITY

Subject Categories:

• Atmospheric Physics

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE