Accession Number:

ADA615296

Title:

Indicators of Terrorism Vulnerability in Africa

Descriptive Note:

Master's thesis

Corporate Author:

AIR FORCE INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY WRIGHT-PATTERSON AFB OH GRADUATE SCHOOL OF ENGINEERING AND MANAGEMENT

Personal Author(s):

Report Date:

2015-03-26

Pagination or Media Count:

105.0

Abstract:

Terrorism in Africa has increased more than six-fold since 1997, with an increase in lethality as well. The U.S. government has spent billions of dollars to counter this increase in terrorism however, terrorism in Africa has increased seemingly unabated. Furthermore, these methods used to counter-terrorism have been reactionary as opposed to preventative. To address the terrorism threat to a country, we must first understand which characteristics make a country vulnerable to such a threat. A confirmatory analysis bridges the inter-discipline gap between quantitative and qualitative fields through as assessment of observational findings about the causes of terrorism. An exploratory analysis evaluates additional variables to find indicators with predictive ability. Lastly, a classification analysis further analyzes these indicator relationships in order identify break points where vulnerabilities are most detected. Ultimately, these indicators should aid in providing key strategic options to reduce the terror threat and vulnerabilities across Africa.

Subject Categories:

  • Government and Political Science
  • Sociology and Law
  • Statistics and Probability
  • Unconventional Warfare

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE