Space Weather Prediction
Final rept. 1 Oct 2007 to 30 Sep 2014
AIR FORCE RESEARCH LAB KIRTLAND AFB NM SPACE VEHICLES DIRECTORATE
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This final report represents a summary of the 6-2 In-House Work Unit IHWU 1010RDA1 activity for the period of 1 October 2007 FY08 through 30 September 2014 FY14 for AFRLRVBXS. Members of the AFRLRVBXS section have broad and deep expertise in observation, analysis, and modeling of solar and heliospheric processes and variability, which is leveraged though collaborative efforts with solar scientists in government, industry and universities. The work unit conducted applied research in support of the AFRL Focused Long-Term Challenge FLTC 2.6.3 Integrated Space Environment Forecast Model. It specifically addresses the goals of the FLTC Product 18.104.22.168, Solar Storm Forecasting . The following seven technical projects were identified as the applied research efforts during the duration of this work unit 1 Solar Energetic Particle SEP Forecast Model 2 Validated Sunspot Number Series 3 Medium-term Forecasts of Major Eruptions 4 Solar Flare Prediction Model 5 Long-term Solar Wind Reconstruction 6 Next Generation Solar Wind Model and 7 Forecasting F10.7 and Ultraviolet Irradiance.