Leveraging ISI Multi-Model Prediction for Navy Operations: Proposal to the Office of Naval Research
Interim rept. 1 Feb-30 Sep 2013
GEORGE MASON UNIV FAIRFAX VA CENTER FOR OCEAN LAND ATMOSPHERE STUDIES
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The potential to leverage existing and planned efforts to produce sub-seasonal to seasonal S2S1 climate predictions, by U.S. national laboratories participating in the National Multi- Model Ensemble NMME project and by U.S. Navy research and operational entities, for the purpose of advising and enhancing Navy operations, will be exploited. The proposed work will build on a review previously conducted by the principal investigator and collaborators of the existing and planned efforts at the relevant U.S. Navy centers and has the potential to enhance existing operational climatological products developed by the Climatology Division at NRL-Monterey and will seek to include Navy models in the NMME project. The accuracy, timeliness, and information content of U.S. Navy operational products intended to provide tailored long-range operational environmental information for planning and decision support will be significantly enhanced by the targeted application of dynamical ensemble predictions.