Accession Number:

ADA604025

Title:

A Critique of Three Decision Support Techniques

Descriptive Note:

Technical note

Corporate Author:

DEFENCE SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY ORGANISATION EDINBURGH (AUSTRALIA)

Personal Author(s):

• Warren, Lewis

Report Date:

2014-01-01

Pagination or Media Count:

27.0

Abstract:

This document provides an in-depth critical analysis of three recent non-standard analytical techniques and algorithms. This analysis continues this authors ongoing study of the foundations of extant decision analysis techniques for the purpose of identifying those that are mathematically sound and robust. These techniques have been selected because they have been proposed for application in the military and intelligence arenas where decisions can have great strategic importance. Our analysis indicates that all rest on doubtful mathematical foundations to the extent that they would not be advisable to use for defence related decision making.

Descriptors:

• *DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEMS
• *LOGIC
• AUSTRALIA
• DECISION MAKING
• DECISION THEORY
• INTELLIGENCE
• MATHEMATICAL MODELS
• MATHEMATICS
• OPERATIONS RESEARCH
• UNCERTAINTY

Subject Categories:

• Operations Research

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE