A New Consensus in Russian National Security and Foreign Policy
RAND PROJECT AIR FORCE SANTA MONICA CA
Pagination or Media Count:
Russian thinking on foreign and security policy is undergoing a fundamental transformation. The consensus of the Gorbachev and Yeltsin eras that had promised to launch the Soviet Union and Russia on the path of strategic rapprochement and even partnership with the Western alliance has been replaced by a new consensus. The new consensus puts far less emphasis on maintaining a cooperative partnership with the West and promises to push Russia toward a more aloof position relative to the Western alliance. This consensus is preoccupied with regions and countries along Russias immediate periphery the near abroad, is prone to outbursts of great-power assertiveness, and is seeking to rebuild Russias sphere of influence. At best it is a consensus about Russias special responsibility in the Commonwealth of Independent States CIS. At worst it is a consensus about Russias special right in the former Soviet Union as its presumed exclusive sphere of influence. This research, which was completed in 1994 before the recent problems in Chechnya, examines how this new consensus emerged and assesses its implications for U.S. interests and policy.
- Government and Political Science