Numbers Matter: Post-2014 Afghan National Security Force End Strength
Strategy research project
ARMY WAR COLLEGE CARLISLE BARRACKS PA
Pagination or Media Count:
As the War in Afghanistan continues into a second decade, there is much debate regarding the post-2014 end state. The United States and its allies are laying the foundation for a long-term strategy for Afghanistan. There have already been preliminary discussions on the number of the Afghan National Security Forces ANSF the U.S. and the international coalition would support with funding beyond 2014. With the Afghan government s concurrence, the international community has tentatively agreed to fund a force level of 228,500 ANSF post-2014. A careful analysis of the risk leads one to conclude that the long-term strategy in Afghanistan may be infeasible given that the proposed number of ANSF does not adequately support the desired political objectives. The U.S. and its international allies should re-examine this number and consider funding the ANSF at the current force level of 352,000 post-2014 to provide the Afghan government a legitimate chance for success.
- Military Intelligence