Evaluation of Assessment Methodology to Support Combined Joint Task Force-Horn of Africa
Technical rept. Aug 2011-Jul 2012
MILITARY ACADEMY WEST POINT NY CENTER FOR NATION RECONSTRUCTION AND CAPACITY DEVELOPMENT
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We conducted a review of their current assessment methodology with the goals of making recommended improvements and develop a means to aggregate their assessment methodology in support of the J5, Combined Joint Task Force - Horn of Arica, US Africa Command. This research demonstrates an approach to capture the many political, social, and economic factors that exist for this nation and others in the region face and to capture and convey a quantitatively based measure of nation stability. The product developed is intended to be utilized by the defense and other agencies and private organizations interested in the stability of a country. We used multi objective decision analysis to develop a weighted scoring methodology using Kenya for a proof of principal demonstration study. This methodology is an improvement over existing methodologies in that it uses a weighed scoring in lieu of a simple additive model. We also investigated numerous means to best convey the results to include spider plots, bubble charts, stacked bar graphs, and stop light charts to capture both the change in stability as well as the magnitude of the change.
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