Location Forecast of Future Urban Residential Development Near Nellis Air Force Base, Nevada
ENGINEER RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT CENTER CHAMPAIGN IL CONSTRUCTION ENGINEERING RESEARCH LAB
Pagination or Media Count:
Urban growth near military facilities could erode the ability of the military to conduct current and potential future missions in southern Nevada, especially near Nellis Air Force Base AFB. While it is well understood that the Las Vegas urban area and the I-15 corridor connecting it to the Los Angeles basin have experienced significant growth, it is the anticipated patterns of future development that are most important to military planning. Proper regional planning could alter the patterns of future development near installations. This document reports the results of applying the Regional Urban Growth RUG model to the region surrounding Las Vegas to forecast where future growth is likely to happen. This exercise did not project any significant nearby urban development near Nellis AFB. The base appears to be blocking extension of urban development to the northeast and development pressure is not currently substantial enough to leapfrog the base. This first-cut analysis can be followed by more detailed urban growth modeling to fine-tune these results. Subsequent modeling can also test the implications of alternative regional plans involving significant highwayroad construction, transfer of property rights associated with large tracts, and regional zoning.
- Administration and Management
- Civil Engineering
- Logistics, Military Facilities and Supplies