Accession Number:

ADA562269

Title:

Agent-Based Modeling and Simulation: Proposal for Department of Defense Support to the Whole of Government Approach In Afghanistan

Descriptive Note:

Master's thesis

Corporate Author:

NATIONAL DEFENSE UNIV NORFOLK VA JOINT ADVANCED WARFIGHTING SCHOOL

Personal Author(s):

Report Date:

2012-05-11

Pagination or Media Count:

112.0

Abstract:

On October 06, 2008, the Department of Defense DoD stood up U.S. Forces-Afghanistan USF-A under U.S. Central Command USCENTCOM. In cooperation with the NATO International Security Assistance Force ISAF, USF-A has trained and supported the Afghan National Army ANA to protect and support the Afghan National Police ANP as it provides security to the people of Afghanistan. Authorities were established for a cooperative effort between the U.S. Department of State DOS Chief of Mission COM in Afghanistan and the Commander, USF-A. An integrated Civil-Military Campaign Plan ICMCP was signed on August 10, 2009, and revised in 2011. The U.S. Whole-of-Government approach effort in Afghanistan was defined in the integrated plan, based on close collaboration with the ISAF and the United Nations Assistance Mission in Afghanistan UNAMA. The plans most important component was a strong and continuing partnership with the Government of the Islamic Republic of Afghanistan GIRoA to build stability. The ability to measure and forecast the reaction of elders serving within the GIRoA is essential to decision makers so they can assess the effectiveness of stabilization efforts. Agent-based modeling and simulation A-B MS is a means to project reception by the Afghan people of stabilization initiatives by the GIRoA. This thesis proposes that DoD provide an A-B MS capability in support of strategic and operational decision makers of the U.S. Whole-of-Government approach to stabilization in Afghanistan. The thesis will explain A-B MS in context through a case study of the Malayan insurgency, and justify why the DoD should use and lead the capability. A detailed explanation will be provided as to how the DoD could use A-B MS in Afghanistan for security decisions. A transition strategy will be offered on how the capability should be passed from DoD to the DOS by late 2014. Recommendations and conclusions complete the thesis.

Subject Categories:

  • Government and Political Science
  • Sociology and Law
  • Psychology
  • Computer Programming and Software
  • Military Forces and Organizations

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE