Accession Number:

ADA561899

Title:

Defense Drawdowns: Analysis with Implications

Descriptive Note:

Research paper

Corporate Author:

ARMY WAR COLL CARLISLE BARRACKS PA

Personal Author(s):

Report Date:

2012-03-21

Pagination or Media Count:

72.0

Abstract:

During drawdowns, the nation historically reduces defense spending to about 375 billion, in real terms. Currently, the nation is expending 646 billion for defense, including war-related funding on top of the 531 billion base budget. With decreasing operations in Afghanistan, the nations challenging fiscal and economic situations will also demand significant reductions in the base defense budget. If the nation follows historical patterns during the Global War on Terrorism GWOT drawdown, it may reduce the base defense budget by about 24 percent i.e., 1.4 trillion over the next 10 years, more reductions than sequestration requires in the 2011 Budget Control Act. Under such a drawdown scenario, the Department of Defense DoD would have to consider a reduction of 500,000 active duty service members, particularly given the increased costs of manpower, which have grown 63 percent since the nation implemented the all-volunteer force. Meanwhile, the DoD increased its spending on Defense-Wide activities, National Guard and Reserves, and Special Operations Forces, even during drawdowns, which are consuming larger percentages of funding. Finally, the DoD spends about 22 percent of its budget to equip a smaller force with more expensive equipment.

Subject Categories:

  • Economics and Cost Analysis
  • Humanities and History
  • Military Forces and Organizations

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE