Revolutions in Science and Technology: Future Threats to US National Security
SCIENCE APPLICATIONS INTERNATIONAL CORP MCLEAN VA
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The accompanying report provides a framework for evaluating ST developments through the lens of their national security implications. This framework allows analysts to assess postulated technologies using a multi-tiered filtering process. The process consists first of a determination of whether the technology qualifies as a weapon of mass effect, a term for which a new definition is provided. The next step assesses whether the technology possesses various qualities that would make it particularly consequentiaL These include reduced barriers to acquisition system integration novel delivery means self-propagation novel radical empowerment mitigation of effects and diverse applicability. To illustrate the framework, the report examines eight technologiescapabilities that were identified as potential WME ultrafast laser technology genetically-engineered pathogens advanced laser isotope separation electromagnetic interference micro-jammers botnet technology circuit board hacking quantum computing and E-bombs. The analysis of these technologies identifies the factors that may drive or inhibit their development, as well as the driverscounter-drivers that influence their attractiveness from an adversarys perspective.
- Nuclear Weapons