Accession Number:

ADA555927

Title:

Ensuring Resiliency of the Milk and Dairy Industry in California

Descriptive Note:

Master's thesis

Corporate Author:

NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA DEPT OF OPERATIONS RESEARCH

Personal Author(s):

Report Date:

2011-12-01

Pagination or Media Count:

65.0

Abstract:

We model the milk and dairy industry in California focusing on the production, processing, and distribution of bulk milk at the county level. We analyze the sensitivity and resiliency of this industry if it were faced with a worst-case disruption that resulted in a massive shortage of milk supply throughout California. The major highways in California are used to connect all of its counties and illustrate how the bulk milk is being distributed. We utilize Attacker-Defender AD modeling techniques to determine where worst-case disruptions could occur. This reveals vulnerabilities within the milk and dairy industry. We examine three specific scenarios 1 a quarantine of each county due to a Foot and Mouth Disease FMD outbreak, or any other event that would cause the complete stoppage of production, processing, and movement of milk in a county over a 7-day period 2 1-to-15 attacks on the milk and dairy industry in a 45-day time period and 3 the isolation of Northern and Southern California over a 7-day time period due to a natural disaster.

Subject Categories:

  • Economics and Cost Analysis
  • Food, Food Service and Nutrition
  • Manufacturing and Industrial Engineering and Control of Production Systems

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE