Tropical Cyclone Structure and Intensity Change
STATE UNIV OF NEW YORK AT ALBANY DEPT OF EARTH SCIENCES
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The long-term goals of our research are to understand the interactions between tropical cyclones and their surroundings, and how such interactions influence tropical cyclone structure and intensity. The primary objective of this proposal was to understand the interactions of upper tropospheric potential vorticity centers and tropical cyclones, and to develop a path to operations that will allow prediction of tropical cyclone intensity change during such interactions. This objective is an extension of our previous ONR-funded work. The second objective was to understand the mechanisms behind the clustering of tropical cyclone occurrence in time, with the ultimate goal of predicting the presence of multiple tropical cyclones in advance. This represents a new initiative. Early studies have been for the eastern Pacific Ocean, but are now being extended to the western Pacific.