Mesoscale Predictability and Improving the Utility of Ensemble Forecasts
ARIZONA UNIV TUCSON DEPT OF ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
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Examining mesoscale predictability with the goal of improving the utility of ensemble forecasts EFs at ranges of 12 hours to 2 days. Our research addresses the issues of initial condition uncertainty ICU for mesoscale analyses and the merit of calibration of output from ensemble prediction systems EPSs by artificial neural networks.