Accession Number:

ADA525275

Title:

Programming Coup D'Oeil: The Impact of Decision Making Technology in Operational Warfare

Descriptive Note:

Final rept.

Corporate Author:

NAVAL WAR COLL NEWPORT RI JOINT MILITARY OPERATIONS DEPT

Personal Author(s):

Report Date:

2010-05-03

Pagination or Media Count:

25.0

Abstract:

Effective military leaders are able to make decisions under extreme pressure and in the face of imperfect information. They are also forced to make assumptions and predictions regarding their opponents potential actions. The lack of perfect information and uncertainty creates the fog and friction of war, and commanders use either the analytical or intuitive decision making methodologies during the planning process to see through the ambiguity of warfare. Given that both processes have shortcomings, this paper addresses the potential positives and negatives of using computer-based decision making technologies DMT to cut through the fog of war. It explores several of the common human cognitive biases that erode the effectiveness of the analytical and intuitive decision making processes, and it discusses how a DMT can overcome those shortcomings. It also examines the impact of the DMT upon the operational factors of time, space, and force. Finally, it addresses several problems that a DMT may introduce into the planning process.

Subject Categories:

  • Administration and Management
  • Computer Programming and Software
  • Military Forces and Organizations
  • Military Operations, Strategy and Tactics

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE