A Dynamic Model for C3 Information Incorporating the Effects of Counter C3
NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA
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A dynamical model is proposed for C3 information that explicitly incorporates effects of counter-C3 activities. The model assumes an inevitable growth of uncertainty inherent in military situations that is only counteracted by continuously importing new information into the system. Counter-C3 activities are modeled as additional growth terms in uncertainty that depend on the instantaneous knowledge of both sides. It is shown for this model the relative shift of system equilibrium is directly proportional to the ratio of the counter-C3 coupling coefficient to the systems natural uncertainty entropy growth rate. Furthermore, it is shown that small perturbations from the stable equilibrium are restored to equilibrium by the system forces, i.e. the system is ultra-stable. However, a perturbation of entropy of one side, induces a delayed perturbation of entropy on the other side with opposite sign. Thus, if X becomes fortuitously more knowledgeable by chance, Y will in turn, some time later, become more uncertain, and vice versa.
- Operations Research
- Numerical Mathematics