Whole-of-Government Planning and Wargaming of Complex International Operations: Experimental Evaluation of Methods and Tools
ARMY RESEARCH LAB ADELPHI MD
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We describe the experimental methodology developed and employed in a series of experiments within the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency DARPA Conflict Modeling, Planning, and Outcomes Exploration COMPOEX Program. The primary purpose of the effort was the development of tools and methods for analysis, planning, and predictive assessment of plans for complex operations where integrated political- military-economic-social-infrastructure and information PMESII considerations play decisive roles. As part of the program, our team executed several broad-based experiments, involving dozens of experts from several agencies simultaneously. The methodology evolved from one experiment to another because of the lessons learned. The paper presents the motivation, objectives, and structure of this interagency experiment series the methods we explored in the experiments and the results, lessons learned, and recommendations for future efforts of such nature.
- Military Operations, Strategy and Tactics