Accession Number:

ADA507508

Title:

Pre-Incident Indicators of Terrorist Incidents: The Identification of Behavioral, Geographic, and Temporal Patterns of Preparatory Conduct

Descriptive Note:

Final rept.

Corporate Author:

ARKANSAS UNIV FAYETTEVILLE TERRORISM RESEARCH CENTER IN FULBRIGHT COLLEGE

Report Date:

2006-03-01

Pagination or Media Count:

541.0

Abstract:

Findings from the American Terrorism Study NIJ grant 1999-IJCX-0005 and DHSMIPT grant 106-113-2000-064 reveal that unlike traditional criminality, terrorists are much less spontaneous, engage in substantial planning activities, and commit ancillary and preparatory crimes in advance of a terrorist incident. Building on these findings, the goals of the current project were to determine whether 1 sufficient open source data exists to examine the temporal and spatial relationships that exist in terrorist group planning, and 2 if such data do exist, can patterns of routinized preparatory conduct be identified. To accomplish these goals, subject matter experts were selected to identify terrorist groupsincidents that operated or occurred within the United States from four major categories international and three types of domestic terrorism -- left-wing, right-wing, and single issue which was limited to environmental and anti-abortion terrorism. Sixty-seven cases were selected for analysis. Of these sixty seven, sixty of the cases were sufficiently fertile to provide some data for analysis. These included 22 right-wing, 9 left-wing, 10 international, and 17 single issue cases. Information on some 200 terrorist incidents right-wing, 41 left-wing, 51 international, 58 and single issue, 50 was extracted from open source data on these cases to create a relational database composed of 265 variables. Geospatial data was recorded on some 515 terrorists residences, planning locations, preparatory activities, and target locations.

Subject Categories:

  • Sociology and Law
  • Psychology
  • Unconventional Warfare

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE