A Methodology for Performing Effects-Based Assessments
AIR FORCE INST OF TECH WRIGHT-PATTERSON AFB OH SCHOOL OF ENGINEERING AND MANAGEMENT
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In order to bring the doctrine of Effects-Based Operations EBO into a fully operational capability, Effects-Based Assessment EBA must provide relevant insight to the commander and his planning staff. Assessments of an effects-based plan and execution must include an assessment of the effects of a campaign on the enemy in addition to an assessment of the accomplishment of friendly actions taken to achieve the desired effects. Determining the effects of a campaign requires an analysis of the dynamics of the enemy systems. EBA must be able to recognize the states of the enemys systems as the system states change over time. This research advances the application of EBA by defining anticipated states of enemy systems, developing indicators to determine those states, and applying progress functions to the states in order to quantify attainment of the commanders objectives. The methodology describes a process for assessing combat and stability operations. The results indicate that the EBA methodology developed in this research works best where the systems of interest cannot be assessed directly.
- Military Operations, Strategy and Tactics