Accounting for Uncertainty in a Business Case Analysis for Implementing Advanced Technology Ordnance Surveillance in a Munitions Management Environment
MBA Professional rept.
NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND PUBLIC POLICY
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The purpose of this project was to support the Advanced Technology Ordnance Surveillance ATOS project office in conducting return on investment analysis. The approach taken to support the ROI analysis was to build a model consistent with the need for a Business Case Analysis BCA for an ATOS Advanced Concept Technology Demonstration ACTD, which allows generating the return on investment distribution, while also assuming a range of uncertain savings assumptions. Additionally, the model that was built required testing with notional data in order to evaluate its functionality. The results of this project are that - there is a ROI model built tested and proven to work - the model is ready to be filled with real data and to work to support the ATOS pilot project.
- Administration and Management
- Economics and Cost Analysis
- Logistics, Military Facilities and Supplies
- Ammunition and Explosives