Accession Number:

ADA433701

Title:

Modeling Dynamic Casualty Mortality Curves in the Tactical Medical Logistics (TML+) Planning Tool

Descriptive Note:

Final rept. 30 Sep 2003-Sep 2004

Corporate Author:

NAVAL HEALTH RESEARCH CENTER SAN DIEGO CA

Report Date:

2004-10-08

Pagination or Media Count:

27.0

Abstract:

Medical simulation models, such as the Naval Health Research Centers NHRC Tactical Medical Logistics TML planning tool, stochastically represent the mortality of casualties with life-threatening injuries at various points in the Medical Treatment Facility MTF network flow. NHRC is seeking to determine a mathematical probabilistic representation of a conditional survival function that is reasonable in the context of other stochastic models being used in TML. The paper describes NHRCs research approach to determine an acceptable TML model for the mortality function, describes Subject Matter Expert SME opinion results being used as the basis for an interim descriptive model using a biomedical sciences probability model Weibull, and gives the future plans to capture more quantitative mortality and treatment data from the Navy-Marine Corps Combat Trauma Registry and other sources to use in investigating the applicability of a full range of biomedical sciences probability models via inferential methods.

Subject Categories:

  • Medicine and Medical Research
  • Statistics and Probability
  • Computer Programming and Software

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE