Regional Mine Burial Prediction Using Monte Carlo and Deterministic Methods
NAVAL RESEARCH LAB STENNIS SPACE CENTER MS MARINE GEOSCIENCES DIV
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An integrated, time-dependent, stochastic model for predicting mine burial in littoral waters is presented. The model is designed to account for impact burial of mines and coupled post-impact burial processes scour, sand ridge migration, and liquefaction by integrating currently available deterministic models that predict these burial processes. Operational Navy databases and oceanographic modeling output from the United States Naval Oceanographic Office NAVOCEANO are used to Set up the initial bathymetric and sediment conditions and provide the temporal driving burial forces. The model uses Monte Carlo simulations to provide stochastic burial predictions based on mine geometry and various deployment scenarios. Temporal changes in burial conditions may be displayed on a regional map.
- Statistics and Probability
- Land Mine Warfare
- Ammunition and Explosives