Accession Number:

ADA422104

Title:

Flashman's Revenge: Central Asia After September 11

Descriptive Note:

Strategic Forum no. 195

Corporate Author:

NATIONAL DEFENSE UNIV WASHINGTON DC INST FOR NATIONAL STRATEGIC STUDIES

Personal Author(s):

Report Date:

2002-12-01

Pagination or Media Count:

9.0

Abstract:

The September 11 terrorist attacks have altered the geopolitical dynamics in Central Asia. The United States has emerged as the preeminent power in the region, causing other countries with interests in Central Asia to adjust to radically changed circumstances. The war on terrorism and increasing instability in South and Southwest Asia call for a long-term US military presence in Central Asia Such a presence could also complement ongoing US diplomatic rela tionships in the region. In the long run, US influence in the region will have to contend with the residual advantages that Russia, China, and Iran have by virtue of their geographic proximity, cultural ties, and trading patterns. The American ability to promote the security and stability of Central Asia will depend on the cooperation of and perhaps partnership with one or more of these states. Central Asia will have to contend with poor governance, widespread corruption, and authoritarian regimes, with all the ensuing consequences for US efforts to promote economic and political modernization. Balancing short-term stability against considerations of long-term political and economic reform will further complicate these efforts. The roles of partner, security manager, and advocate of reform are not easily reconciled in Central Asia. Still, the events of September 11 have left the United States with no alternative but to address these issues.

Subject Categories:

  • Government and Political Science

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE