Accession Number:

ADA409339

Title:

Dragon on Terrorism: Assessing China's Tactical Gains and Strategic Losses Post-September 11

Descriptive Note:

Monograph

Corporate Author:

ARMY WAR COLL STRATEGIC STUDIES INST CARLISLE BARRACKS PA

Personal Author(s):

Report Date:

2002-10-01

Pagination or Media Count:

70.0

Abstract:

Every major event in history has unintended consequences. A major unintended and unsettling, from Beijings standpoint consequence of the U.S.-led War on Terrorism has not only been to checkmate and roll-back Chinas recent moves at strategic expansion in Central, South, and Southeast Asia but also to tilt the regional balance of power decisively in Washingtons favor within a short period of time, thereby highlighting how tenuous Chinese power is when compared to that of the United States. In this sense, September 11, 2001, should be seen as a major discontinuity or nonlinearity in post-Cold War international politics. New strategic and political realities emerging in Asia put a question mark over Beijings earlier certainties, assumptions and beliefs. This monograph offers an overview of Chinas foreign policy goals and achievements prior to September 11, examines Beijings response to terrorist attacks on the U.S. mainland, provides an assessment of Chinas tactical gains and strategic losses following the September 11 attacks, and concludes with an evaluation of Beijings future policy options. It argues that if China was on a roll prior to 911, in a complete reversal of roles post-91 1, it is now the United States that is on the move. The U.S.-led War against Terrorism has radically altered the strategic landscape, severely constricted the strategic latitude that China has enjoyed post-Cold War, undermined Chinas carefully projected image as the next superpower, and ushered in new geopolitical alignments whose ramifications will be felt for a long time to come.

Subject Categories:

  • Unconventional Warfare

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE