The People's Republic and Taiwan: Time for a New Cross-Strait Bargain
NATIONAL DEFENSE UNIV WASHINGTON DC INST FOR NATIONAL STRATEGIC STUDIES
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To avoid renewed PRC-Taiwan tensions and facilitate U.S.-China relations, it is necessary and possible to craft a new cross-strait bargain reflecting new political realities. An initial quid pro quo would be Chinas renouncing the use of force in return for Taiwans renouncing independence. Though Beijing does not seek reunification in the near term, its pressures on Taipei will abate only if Beijing is convinced that Taipei has given up any intention of declaring independence. From Beijings perspective, the test of Taipeis intentions will be Taipeis acceptance of the one China principle- something Taiwan is unlikely to do unless it can participate in the United Nations. Taiwans emergence as an economically strong, full-fledged democracy requires a new set of understandings between China and Taiwan and new expectations of both about the U.S. role in the tripartite relationship. Washington can play a useful catalytic role in quietly making the case for a new modus vivendi. However, the United States should continue to avoid assuming the role of mediator.
- Government and Political Science