Unrest and Instability in Southeastern Europe: Cold War Insights for the 21st Century
ILLINOIS UNIV AT URBANA
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This studys underlying premise is that history continues to play an important role in the daily lives of those who live in Southeastern Europe. Therefore by examining where unrest has occurred during the last 50 years and over what issues, one is likely to shed light on future hotspots in this unstable region during the 21st Century. This study looks specifically at Bulgaria and Romania-two former Warsaw Pact nations that seek entry into NATO-and explores the factors that have spurred civil and ethnic unrest, the form it has taken, where it has occurred, and the identities of the groups involved. The studys findings enhance our understanding of where and why unrest has erupted in Southeastern Europe and how this discontent has changed in Bulgaria and Romania since the end of the Cold War. This study also assesses how these changes pose new challenges for the intelligence community in predicting ethnic, social, and political conflict in this region and offers some potential tools to aid in overcoming these challenges.
- Government and Political Science