J-STOCHWARS and Beyond: Models for Force Motion and Interaction that Represent Uncertain Perception
NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA DEPT OF OPERATIONS RESEARCH
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This report records work carried out on a theater-level simulation modeling effort entitled J-STOCHWARS JS. It is a connected set of working papers minimal attempt has been made to polish the prose, and redundancies occur. There remain needed additions and modifications. These will be made as the authors adapt the ideas for use in planning models that are under current, and future military development. Work on the simulation model has been supplanted by an analytical scoping model, Battlespace Information War BATIW. The emphasis of the report is upon recognition, characterization and exploitation and control of aspects of uncertainty in military operations. It emphasizes simple low-resolution representations of the products of generic imaging sensors. Later work will deal with other input, such as ELINT and COMINT. We provide ideas as to how such information products can be combined or fused, basically using a Bayesian and GaussianNormal-distribution theory format for computational and conceptual convenience. We investigate processes for probabilistically updating opponent course of action COA estimates. Many of the computational ideas and algorithms have been incorporated in a computer program termed Joint Warfare Analysis Experimental Prototype JWAEP. The latter runs on a SUN computer.
- Military Operations, Strategy and Tactics
- Command, Control and Communications Systems