An Econometric Analysis of the Enlisted Goaling Model
CENTER FOR NAVAL ANALYSES ALEXANDRIA VA
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The Navy uses the Enlisted Goaling Model to predict the supply of net new A-cell recruit contracts. Commander, Navy Recruiting Command CNRC requested that CNA reexamine and refine the econometric specification of the goaling model to ensure that it was predicting the supply of available recruits with the highest degree of accuracy possible. This report investigates whether the inclusion of alternate variables increases the accuracy, whether the basic form also serves to predict recruit contracts for a higher quality subset of A-cells, and whether the appropriate supply model for workforce recruits is significantly different from the model for high school seniors.
- Personnel Management and Labor Relations