Quantifying the Value of Reconnaissance
MILITARY ACADEMY WEST POINT NY
Pagination or Media Count:
Quantifying the war fighting value of reconnaissance is a hard problem. Standard analytical techniques fail to identify second and higher order effects of reconnaissance when integrated in a combat model. Additionally, current simulation techniques fail to model the human factor in information transfer and decision making. Finally, conventional measures of effectiveness concentrating on attrition loss exchange ratios, killervictim scoreboards, etc. are clearly inadequate when tasked to measure reconnaissance effectiveness. This study attempts to answer the question of how to quantify the value of reconnaissance. We first examine the role of reconnaissance in the battle process, to include defining reconnaissance and conducting a taskmission analysis. Next, we explore a potential methodology for Army analysts to use in quantifying the value of new reconnaissance systems, doctrine, or force structures. Lastly, this paper chronicles several ongoing efforts to validate and refine this proposed methodology.
- Military Intelligence